Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 4.063735 4.709028 5.391079 6.162521 7.007650 7.902284 8.917815
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.192275 4.100036 5.125003 6.354464 7.775603 9.353711 11.225402
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.439928 3.469810 4.708762 6.276626 8.175498 10.370022 13.066364
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.865751 2.939009 4.312302 6.138548 8.444013 11.201298 14.690174
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.475990 2.567472 4.047497 6.105352 8.798118 12.112552 16.408549
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.163554 2.240371 3.787087 6.030744 9.065113 12.897381 17.970394
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.014576 2.124720 3.794867 6.298312 9.769047 14.236162 20.240334
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.836887 1.928292 3.656516 6.339327 10.156026 15.164286 21.999790
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.752655 1.872214 3.717302 6.658327 10.922941 16.598050 24.429305
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.667234 1.796997 3.735807 6.907839 11.592967 17.911606 26.721722
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.569741 1.678874 3.669160 7.017610 12.059967 18.955233 28.672028
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.462204 1.515998 3.506978 6.962815 12.278305 19.656449 30.172213
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.398913 1.437097 3.486255 7.135575 12.845315 20.865330 32.398300
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.336342 1.344297 3.429360 7.243330 13.315834 21.948313 34.473370
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.258378 1.189060 3.235944 7.108701 13.409369 22.498085 35.827973
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.192224 1.039309 3.030955 6.934889 13.428068 22.933353 37.024635
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.148543 0.936845 2.906190 6.887705 13.636126 23.638361 38.599757
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.111009 0.835055 2.766977 6.801315 13.772766 24.235901 40.027714
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099609 0.825654 2.831280 7.089504 14.519845 25.741623 42.753830
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.078386 0.764329 2.767666 7.132796 14.865057 26.655051 44.649888
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.072481 0.769158 2.861338 7.478266 15.716167 28.334883 47.656765
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.064249 0.758474 2.915426 7.748365 16.446533 29.842778 50.433335
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052161 0.719371 2.893358 7.867101 16.923940 30.974638 52.681163